Marcus Mariota over under for total touchdowns in 2019

ESPN is doing a series of over/unders for each team at each offensive position from a fantasy football perspective. They are asking each of their 32 NFL reporters a question about the team they cover. Naturally, they started with quarterback and asked Turron Davenport if Marcus Mariota would go over or under 20 total touchdowns in 2019.

Davenport’s comments:

Over. Mariota should see an increase in passing touchdowns this season thanks to the return of tight end Delanie Walker and the addition of wide receiver Adam Humphries. Both players present matchup problems, especially in the red zone. They get open quickly, and they’re reliable pass-catchers. Mariota also has wideout Corey Davis as an option to make contested catches. New offensive coordinator Arthur Smith wants Mariota to play more freely, so don’t be surprised if he flees the pocket and scores touchdowns running the ball.

Maybe I’m crazy, but there is no way Mariota doesn’t go over 20 total touchdowns (of course assuming he is healthy enough to play in 12+ games). Look, I know the numbers from last year. There is no getting around how bad they were, but you have to add in the context that for about 6 weeks he couldn’t feel his hand.

With that being said, how much money would I be willing to to put on the over of 20 total touchdowns for Mariota in 2019? Not a whole lot....You?