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Last weekend I wrote up my gambling picks, for recreational purposes only, here. I hit the winner and over/under on all 4 games. I am pretty sure that has never happened for me and probably never will again. I should have actually put some money on things.
While it was a great weekend for me, it was a bloodbath for the odds makers in Vegas:
“Last weekend was our worst NFL weekend we have ever had mainly because of the Packers, so I am not surprised to see our bettors backing them again with over 70% of the action on them,” Kevin Bradley, SportsBook Manager, Bovada.lv said in a statement. “We have a posted Total of 61½, which seems astronomical for an NFL Playoff game, but does not seem to be scaring many people away with over 75% betting the over. The other matchup seems to be more balanced with just a tad more coming in on the Pats so far.”
Here are the odds and lines for Championship weekend:
Conference Championship Playoff Round Lines
Green Bay Packers: +4 (77% of public)
Atlanta Falcons: -4 (23% of public)
Total: 61
Pittsburgh Steelers: +6 (45% of public)
New England Patriots: -6 (55% of public)
Total: 51
Conference Championships Odds and Ends
Who will record the most Passing Yards Conference Championship Weekend?
Aaron Rodgers: 9/5
Matt Ryan: 2/1
Tom Brady: 11/4
Ben Roethlisberger: 3/1
Who will record the most Receiving Yards Conference Championship Weekend?
Julio Jones: 2/1
Antonio Brown: 5/2
Julian Edelman: 5/1
Davante Adams: 13/2
Randall Cobb: 13/2
Taylor Gabriel: 10/1
Jared Cook: 12/1
Chris Hogan: 12/1
Who will record the most Rushing Yards Conference Championship Weekend?
Le’Veon Bell: 1/3
Any Other Player: 2/1
Super Bowl Odds heading into Conference Championship Weekend:
2017 Super Bowl 51 Winner
New England Patriots: 3/2
Atlanta Falcons: 13/5
Green Bay Packers: 15/4
Pittsburgh Steelers: 17/4
Super Bowl Line
NFC: +3½
AFC: -3½
Exact Super Bowl Result (Most likely to least likely)
Patriots beat Falcons: 13/5
Falcons beat Patriots: 17/4
Patriots beat Packers: 19/4
Steelers beat Falcons: 6/1
Packers beat Patriots: 7/1
Falcons beat Steelers: 15/2
Packers beat Steelers: 10/1
Steelers beat Packers: 10/1
Exact Super Bowl Result (Alphabetically)
Falcons beat Patriots: 17/4
Falcons beat Steelers: 15/2
Packers beat Patriots: 7/1
Packers beat Steelers: 10/1
Patriots beat Falcons: 13/5
Patriots beat Packers: 19/4
Steelers beat Falcons: 6/1
Steelers beat Packers: 10/1