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If the Tennessee Titans keep the first pick in the 2016 NFL Draft, everyone believes that they will either end up with Laremy Tunsil or Jalen Ramsey. However, what happens to Tunsil if the Tennessee Titans don't take him at one?
Justis Mosqueda talked about this in a recent Bleacher Report piece. Mosqueda is infamous in the draft twitter community because of his quality breakdowns of draft prospects. If you have ever heard the term "force players" or "math rushers" (if you go back far enough) then you know of Mosqueda's work.
In this piece he talks about teams that would be good fits for Tunsil in the draft. Those teams do not include the San Diego Chargers (picking 3rd) the Dallas Cowboys (picking 4th), the Baltimore Ravens (picking 6th), or the San Francisco 49ers (picking 7th).
Let's say that he is right because he is well informed and tends to get a lot of this speculation right. Then that means the Tennessee Titans top competition for Tunsil is the Cleveland Browns at 2 and the Jacksonville Jaguars at 5.
Here is why I don't think that either team will pull the trigger on Tunsil.
Cleveland Browns
Aside from not understanding why that franchise is being run the way it is right now, my biggest issue with understanding what the Browns are doing this season is the mass exodus of players. The weren't willing to overspend on any of their big name free agents which has only created more holes for them on this roster.
One of those holes is right tackle where Mitchell Schwartz was a very good starter who never missed a game for the Browns. So you could argue that the plan would be to draft Tunsil and plug him in at right tackle to eventually take over for Joe Thomas.
But, isn't that a lateral move? Even if Tunsil is great, Schwartz was a top-10 right tackle on his worst day last year and he was a guarantee. Why would the Browns not spend cap room (something they have plenty of and something that is far less valuable than draft picks) instead of waiting to draft Tunsil?
Also, has any team in the league seen just how little an elite left tackle can help a team with no quarterback more than the Cleveland Browns? Hue Jackson has said time and time again that they are going to get a quarterback in this draft and I tend to believe him.
Jacksonville Jaguars
The Jacksonville Jaguars were not afraid to throw around money this season, but they missed out on a couple of things. First of all, they didn't land one of the top cornerbacks in this free agency crop, which is a big need for them. So, it is easy to see why Jalen Ramsey and Vernon Hargreaves would be attractive to the Jaguars at five.
Another thing they didn't get is a great pass rusher. They got Malik Jackson, and I can understand why people would confuse the two, but in four years in the NFL take a wild guess at how many sacks Jackson has gotten? 25? 30? Nope, just 14 total. That is an average of 3.5 per year.
So by that logic you could also see how players like Joey Bosa, Shaq Lawson and Noah Spence could all entice them at 5.
Back to the Titans
Now, I am sure there is a 1% chance of this happening, but it is interesting to think about because while he would make a big impact here, after that he could see a pretty big fall. That best player hardly goes first in the draft, look at Leonard Williams last year who everyone heralded as the can't miss, top guy in the draft.
Someone could make a play up to get Tunsil, but the Titans could match whatever offer they had. For example, if the Dallas Cowboys are sitting at four and the New York Giants see Tunsil falling and think that he will either end up at 5 or 7 (to the Titans who could trade down) then they may try to trade up. While that makes sense on paper, there is no way that Jerry Jones wouldn't give every other team a chance to one-up the Giants because he doesn't want to have to face Tunsil twice a year.
All of this is just speculation, but it is fun to think about while I am sure the Titans would have to trade back up into the top-5, they could still end up with an extra second or third rounder after the trades are done. If they did, imagine how the legend of Jon Robinson would get even bigger.