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Week 12 NFL Gambling: Titans vs. Bears

My pick against the spread.

NFL: Tennessee Titans at Indianapolis Colts Thomas J. Russo-USA TODAY Sports

The game: Tennessee Titans vs. Chicago Bears

The location: Chicago, Illinois

The line: Opened at Titans -2, movement to Titans -6

Season record ATS: 1-1

This game features two teams going in the opposite direction. The Titans are trending upwards behind the arm of Marcus Mariota and the legs of DeMarco Murray. The Bears — well — are in free fall mode.

Chicago sits at 2-8, losing two straight after their surprising upset of the Minnesota Vikings in week eight. Now they’ve lost Jay Cutler once again. That might not sound like the worst thing in the world, but they will now give the keys to Matt Barkley.

Barkley saw his only extended regular season action against the Packers earlier in the season, posting a dreadful 6-15/81 yard stat line.

The Titans are on the opposite end of the spectrum. They’re enjoying the success of one of the hottest quarterbacks in the league, Marcus Mariota. He’s tossed 19 touchdown passes over the past seven games, really taking the reigns of Terry Robiskie’s offense. Everything is clicking right now.

The defense has been the issue as of late. Dick LeBeau’s group has spotted big leads in two of the last three weeks to the Chargers and Colts. The secondary has been torched, facing three of the best quarterbacks in the NFL in consecutive weeks.

Matt Barkley will be a welcomed face to this secondary.

I don’t see any way the Bears can keep up with the Titans. I see a clear advantage here for Tennessee. It’s been a while since I could say that. The Bears are decimated and will be without Alshon Jeffrey once again. The defense most likely won’t be able to hold down the Titans offense all day and will suffer from a lack of production from the offense.

The Pick: Titans, yes even at -6.

I’d hop on now before it gets up to -7. The Titans have a pattern of W/L dating back to week six. They haven’t lost consecutive games since week four. I wouldn’t expect that to change here. Titans, big.

Prediction: Titans 27, Bears 13