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Titans vs. Chargers: Running back success rate

Chris Johnson didn't break the century mark against the Chargers, but that doesn't mean he didn't have a successful game.

Don McPeak-USA TODAY Sports

Looking at the success rate (as defined by Football Outsiders) for the running backs gives us better insight on how they did on each individual carry than just looking at the end of game stats. So what defines a successful run? I am so glad you asked:

  • On first down, the runner must gain 40%+ of the yardage necessary to reach a first down.
  • On second downs, the runner must gain 60%+ of the remaining yardage necessary for a first down.
  • On third and fourth downs, the runner must gain 100%+ of the remaining yardage necessary for a first down.

So here is a look at Chris Johnson's carries:


It was CJ's most "successful" day of the season. It is a tough stretch before the bye week. Running room will be a lot more plentiful after the bye.

Here are Jackie Battle's carries:


I love watching Battle run, but he is the poor man's Shonn Greene. Hurry back, Shonn.

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