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What Should the Titans Realistically Expect from Kerry Collins in 2011?*

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*Assuming he is re-signed by the Tennessee Titans.

This is the first post in a series that I plan to run over the next few weeks. The goal will be to look at a handful of players and see what the Titans should realistically expect their production to be in 2011.

At this point we don't have any idea how the new staff feels about Kerry Collins. They could see him as the perfect guy to mentor Jake Locker, or he could be completely out of their plans. Unfortunately we won't truly know the answer until this stupid lockout is over.

Counting on Collins to start 16 games would be stupid for two reasons;

  1. There is no way he can stay healthy for 16 games.
  2. He just isn't good enough to be a starting QB in the NFL anymore.

Here is Collins's average stat line from the last 4 seasons- 143 of 284 (50%) for 1,564 yards with 8 TDs and 6 INTs in just over 9 games per season.  That line isn't good, and would be even worse if you take out what was a pretty solid 2008 season.

 

So we can all agree that a team thinking about making a playoff run shouldn't count on Collins as their starter, but if we are being honest, the 2011 Titans probably aren't making a playoff run.  They are in a rebuilding year that should mainly be focused on grooming their QB of the future.

Realistically the Titans should expect Collins to give them 6-8 games while Locker learns the offense.  He will play well enough in those games for the Titans to win 2-3 of them.