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A Look At Some Numbers from the 2010 Titans

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I asked Mike Clay, one of the fantasy football guys over at Pro Football Focus, to put together some numbers on the 2010 Titans. Here is what he put together.

The Tennessee Titans finished the 2010 regular season with a 6-10 record. They averaged 57 offensive snaps per game, 32 of which were drop backs with the intention of passing and 24 of which were designed rush attempts. That works out to a called pass play on 57% of their plays.

Tennessee was 3-5-0 on the road, averaging 21 points per game, while allowing 22. At home, the Titans went 3-5-0, averaging 23 points per game, while surrendering 20. In wins, the Titans averaged 58 offensive snaps per game, 25 of which were drop backs and 33 of which were designed rush attempts. That works out to a called pass play on 43% of their plays. In losses, the Titans averaged 56 offensive snaps per game, 37 of which were drop backs and 19 of which were designed rush attempts. That works out to a called pass play on 66% of their plays.

In games lost by no more than 10 points and wins, Tennessee averaged 58 offensive snaps per game, 31 of which were drop backs and 27 of which were designed rush attempts. That works out to a called pass play on 53% of their plays. In games lost by 11+ points, the Titans averaged 53 offensive snaps per game, 37 of which were drop backs and 16 of which were designed rush attempts. That works out to a called pass play on 70% of their plays.

Now, let’s look a bit deeper at some offensive stats from the Titans 2010 campaign.

Passing:

-Completion% = 58% (25th best in NFL)

-Yards / Completions = 12.0 (12th best)

-TD / Completions = 8.8% (6th best)

-INT / Pass Attempts = 3.2% (18th best)

-Non-Aimed Pass Attempt % = 7.6% (14th best)

-Scrambles / Drop Backs = 2.7% (20th highest)

-Sacks / Drop Backs = 5.2% (12th best)

Rushing:

-Yards/Carry on Designed Runs = 4.3 (12th best)

- TDs/Carry on Designed Runs = 3.5% (7th best)

Receiving:

-Receptions / Targets = 62% (26th best)

-Drops / Targets = 7.3% (8th worst)

*Aimed Passes = Pass Attempts minus Non-Aimed passes (Throw Aways, spikes, etc.)

Now for some pass distribution data:

Of total team designed runs (does not include scrambles), 5% went to quarterbacks, 94% to half backs, and 1% to wide receivers

- 81% Chris Johnson, 13% Javon Ringer, 3% Vince Young, 2% Kerry Collins, 0.5% Nate Washington, 0.5% Damian Williams

Of total team targets, 14% went to half backs, 5% to full backs, 55% to wide receivers, and 26% to tight ends.

- 20% Nate Washington, 15% Kenny Britt, 13% Chris Johnson, 11% Bo Scaife, 10% Jared Cook, 9% Justin Gage, 6% Damian Williams, 5% Craig Stevens, 5% Ahmard Hall, 4% Randy Moss, 2% Javon Ringer, 1% Lavelle Hawkins

11 teams passed to the RB less than the Titans

12 teams passed to the WR less than the Titans

8 teams passed to the TE more than the Titans

Moving on to some deep defensive data:

Before I get started on this, let me explain it so it's clear. Although the results are sometimes similar, you won't hear me say, for example, "the Titans defense allows opposing QBs to complete 60% of their passes." Instead, I say "On average, when facing the Titans, a quarterback will see a 4% increase in their completion %." This is much more accurate since it removes the strength of schedule issue. If you have further questions, feel free to ask and I'll be glad to explain.

*Note: When I say "worst" down below I mean the Titans are "worst", not the opponent in question.

On average, quarterbacks facing the Titans see a:

* 3% increase in their completion % (7th worst in NFL)
* 1.5 decrease in their yards-per-completion average (2nd best in NFL)
* 2.1% decrease in their TDs-per-pass completion average (4th best in NFL)
* 0.2% decrease in their INT/Attempt average (16th worst in NFL)
* 0.2% increase in their sack/drop back average (12th best in NFL)

On average, running backs facing the Titans see a:

* 0.6 decrease in their yards-per-carry average (5th best in NFL)
* 2.0% decrease in their Rush TD / Carry average (Best in NFL)
* 1.9% decrease in their yards-per-reception average (Best in NFL)
* 2.9% increase in their receiving TD / Reception average (4th worst in NFL)
* 1% decrease in their catch / target average (14th best in NFL)

On average, wide receivers facing the Titans see a:

* 2.1 decrease in their yards-per-reception average (Best in NFL)
* 3.2% decrease in their receiving TD / Reception average (3rd best in NFL)
* 4% increase in their catch / target average (5th worst in NFL)

On average, tight ends facing the Titans see a:

* 1.1 increase in their yards-per-reception average (6th worst in NFL)
* 4.7% decrease in their receiving TD / Reception average (4th best in NFL)
* 2% decrease in their catch / target average (14th best in NFL)

On average, entire teams facing the Titans see a(n):

* increase of 5 drop backs over their average (3rd highest in NFL)
* increase of 2 designed rush attempts over their average (7th highest in NFL)

(Explanation: when facing the Titans, opponents average an additional 7 offensive plays over what they would average otherwise, 5 of which are drop backs and 2 of which are designed run plays.)

Finally, here is some Titans pass distribution data from 2010:

* Team threw 20+ yards down field 19% of the time (NFL high)
* Team threw between 10-19 yards 24% of the time (12th highest)
* Team threw between 0-9 yards 47% of the time (9th lowest)
* Team threw behind the line of scrimmage 10% of the time (3rd lowest)

You can follow Mike on Twitter @PFF_MikeClay, and you should because he is very good at what he does.