FanPost

Jake Locker '13 Post-Mortem: Interesting Facts




I was on NFL.com looking at the stats of both teams prior to the Colts game tonight. There has been a lot of talk in the media about whether the Titans should go in a different QB direction next year. I'm not here to debate about that. I would just like to point out a few interesting facts my calculator and I discovered.

There is no doubt that Andrew Luck's job is solid in Indy. They love him there, and he has been an NFL and media darling since coming to the league. Here are his stats:

Attempts: 311; Completions: 183; Passing Yards: 2198; Touchdowns: 14

Not bad, especially if you look at Locker's raw numbers:

Attempts: 183; Completions: 111; Passing Yards: 1256; Touchdowns: 8

They seem anemic compared to Luck. But let's look at this more deeply.

Luck: Completion Rate (Comp/Att): 58.8%; TD/Att: 4.5%; TD/Comp: 7.7%; Yards/Att: 7.0; Yds/Comp: 12.0

Locker: Completion Rate (Comp/Att): 60.6%; TD/Att: 4.4%; TD/Comp: 7.2%; Yards/Att: 6.9; Yds/Comp: 11.3

These almost look like stats for the same guy. Is Jake actually as good as Luck? It looks like on passing downs, he is just as effective. Then why the lower raw stats? Well, Jake was out for two games with an injury. But the Titans are also a run-first team:

Number of carries for top RB of each team - Titans: 150 (CJ); Colts: 88 (T. Richardson)

Almost twice the carries means less passing opportunities for a QB who, on paper, is as good per play as the famous #1 pick from Indy. It sounds like the Titans squandered an opportunity to do even more this year by not utilizing him more. At least that's what the stats seem to be saying.

What do you say? Am I missing something? I wonder if any of you have other information, such as how Jake's redzone efficiency compares to Luck's. I think we need to look hard at Locker before any decisions get made.

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