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Rusty Smith, Jake Locker, And My Glass Box Of Emotion.

Visitors of Music City Miracles, I'm having a crisis. I'm freaking out over who will be starting week one at quarterback this year. Freaking. Right. The hell. Out. I've played out millions of scenarios where starting Locker right away ruins everything and we start from square one all over again in 2015 after being laughed out of the building by Jacksonville. Seriously, it will never in my worst nightmares ever get lower than that. Admitting that this pick was a failure is not something I'm willing to do, and if avoiding that means sitting Locker for a year then let's go ahead and do it, but in the back of my head, I see a guy like Josh Freeman, who had a similar college career to Jake, have a kinda rough rookie campaign to come out of nowhere and tear it up in year two. You'd think that Freeman had a huge advantage, but per Football Outsiders, Nate Washington was the better receiver in terms of DYAR (more value overall)  and DVOA (more value per play) than the non-hambeast version of Mike Williams down in Tampa Bay. Kenny Britt also was also ranked light years ahead of both of these two, coming in at 9 in DYAR and a mind-blowing 2 for DVOA. 

Star-divide

Something tells me that Kenny's earth-shattering numbers aren't sustainable. He's a great player, but he had a season based on a small sample size, even by NFL standards, and had an absolutely monster game against Philly that most likely drastically helped his stats. So the toss up in terms of wide receivers seems to favor the Titans, but I think that both Williams and fellow rookie Arrelious Benn will have take steps forward in 2011 while Nate Washington will most likely regress, if only slightly. The big question marks are Jared Cook, who's still an unproven commodity at TE. If he plays like we think he can, he'll be comparable to Kellen Winslow in terms of production who ranked seventh in terms of DYAR among tight ends. Surprisingly enough (or maybe not), Cook was still more valuable than Bo Scaife in 2010. 

In terms of offensive line play, it's pretty simple. The Titans were good at protecting the passer in 2010, so were the Bucs. They rank ninth and thirteenth respectively. (edit: These numbers just seem downright odd after looking at PFF"s post today. Strange stuff indeed. It felt like they were pretty bad, but those guys say otherwise.) If our line was really that good with the mess at guard and center, I can't wait to see what it's like with someone who knows what they're doing in there and isn't literally the worst center in the league. Roos should do a great job keeping strong edge rushers off of Locker/Smith this year. 

In terms of running games: we do realize that CJ is still >>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>> LeGarrette Blount and projects to be for a very long time, right? Good, just do we're clear. 

So there's my case for Jake Locker starting early. Not immediately, but nine starts like Freeman got in 2009 sounds about right. They were low pressure, they were with a weak supporting cast, and they were a great learning experience that gave him the preparation he needed to succeed in 2010. And you know what? He wasn't half bad. He only completed about 55% of his passes, but the TD/INT ratio wasn't awful and he showed promise. In 2010, he was the spitting image of Steve McNair out there. That's what we're aiming here folks, we want another McNair. 

If you're wondering why I keep bringing up the Bucs and Josh Freeman, it's because I feel like Locker and Freeman will be compared for a long time due to very similar college careers and skill sets. Neither of these guys are the Matt Ryan, Sam Bradford type who can come in and start all 16 games immediately. They're projects. How they're handled will be put under a microscope from the get-go because everybody knows this. I've always viewed Locker as the more talented of the two, but we'll certainly see further on down the road.

Now, what about our friend Rusty? I had visions of grandeur in finding the next Tom Brady in the sixth round with this guy when he played mop-up against Washington, but I'm fairly certain none of that is going to happen. Would it kill me to see him start the first six or eight games? No. But perhaps there are better options. I've pretty much conceded at this point that someone over 30 is coming to Nashville this year to play QB, and you know what? I'm slowly warming up to it. Collins' retirement and Vince's impending dismissal make it necessary, so let's see where it goes. 

Guys, I don't wanna sugar coat it. We bad, we real bad, and we gonna be real bad for a long time unless this works out, so for the love of Zeus, please let it work. 

Comment 21 comments  |  0 recs  | 

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Rusty

Watch Rusty come in earn a trip to the pro bowl!! LOL.. sorry Locker but this is the best case for the Titans!!!!!!

Rusty has a hell’va arm.. now if he can only be more accurate. Oh and another plus! he seems VERY willing to chuck it down field.. Moss got the most action as a Titan when Rusty was in

by white02slpss on Jul 12, 2011 11:07 PM CDT reply actions  

Oh yes

almost forgot… Once Rusty blows the league away.. we trade Locker to San Fran and his old coach for a 1st and 3rd in 2012 and a 1st in 2013.. LOL

by white02slpss on Jul 12, 2011 11:08 PM CDT up reply actions  

are you serious????

Collins gave us the best chance to win ma ballz

by Grimerz757 on Jul 13, 2011 8:58 AM CDT up reply actions  

He's not

Official MCM Hater!

"MY GOD WEST STOP THE VY HATE!!!!!!!!!!!!"

by gramsey712 on Jul 13, 2011 9:06 AM CDT up reply actions  

NO

No I wasn’t

But be honest.. Does it matter what the name of the QB is as long as he’s winning games and championships for us?

WHAT IF Rusty Smith came in this year and performed like Drew Bree’s (ala the Rivers Brees situation from a few years ago)

Would you really care what the Titans did with Locker after that?

by white02slpss on Jul 13, 2011 1:42 PM CDT up reply actions  

His old coach?

You are predicting Ty Willingham will take over SF?

Damn, my eyeball tastes good.
@chrislandon

by Gekko Mojo on Jul 15, 2011 10:00 PM CDT up reply actions  

as for freaking out

just remember..

It is what it is and will be what it will be! Sit back, relax and enjoy the ride!

by white02slpss on Jul 12, 2011 11:18 PM CDT reply actions  

#1 He will not and cannot be McNair.

This kind of thinking played a part in Vince underachieving. Everyone thought he was McNair ver. 2. Now i do believe Locker can be the guy and be a franchise QB because his skill set is just as good as Vinces but his work ethic and familiarity with a pro offense may give him a higher ceiling.

|TENNESSEE TITANS|PHILADELPHIA 76ERS|

by TitansJonne on Jul 13, 2011 12:23 AM CDT reply actions  

I think if we have a full TC and preseason

Jake will start wk 1..it’s just what my gut is telling me. Also, I was on titaninsider the other day and I saw Terry McCormick mention a couple times the possibility of the vet that we get already being a backup and knowing he won’t be a starter unlike Hasselbeck or McNabb, while Jake learns on the fly..I thought that was interesting

Tuesday, 7/12/11, 1:59 PM.. I have officially bought into the Jordan Jefferson hype

by trevor2013 on Jul 13, 2011 12:46 AM CDT reply actions  

McCormick is saying what I said the other day when I saw that KC was retiring...

  Another low cost backup QB will most likely be brought in and will help guide Locker but the backup will know he won’t be a starter. This saves money. Money that will also help pay for CJ’s contract.

Everything worth listening to is on SiriusXM.

by SiriusTitansFan on Jul 13, 2011 1:24 AM CDT up reply actions   1 recs

I like that anyways, I think teams should start their franchise QB right away

A.you’ve gotta put the best players out there no matter what
B.there’s too much to gain rather than lose

Collins gave us the best chance to win ma ballz

by Grimerz757 on Jul 13, 2011 10:28 AM CDT up reply actions  

Us not be faint of the heart here okay

Bring in a low cost experienced backup QB if he beats out Locker in training camp let him start. But you will soon realize what a competitor he is and he will play sooner rather than later.

 Locker is a very good game manager and with CJ and a good OL you will be in more games than a lot of people seem to think at least on the offense side anyway. Some of the receivers are really going to have to step up thou its not like they are top notch and that includes Britt with all his problems.

A lot of people outside of TN are going to watch the development of Locker as they contend it was a real draft reach. He will prove them wrong and those of you with all this emotion need to relax and take a prozac.

by rone on Jul 13, 2011 1:51 AM CDT reply actions  

My vote

is just that they do what they believe is best for Locker’s development. I don’t care at all about the 2011 season from a win-loss perspective; I’ve already written it off as a transition / rebuilding year. Whatever games we win, even if it’s a handful, is gravy.

I care about 2011 from the perspective of seeing what the new coaching staff’s philosophy and capabilities are, and seeing in at least some games what Locker has got.

So if Locker seems ready and champing at the bit to go, and the line can give him protection enough to learn, go for it.

Same thing with getting another vet QB. I don’t care if it’s a backup role initially or a starter, it needs to be the best mentor for Jake in my mind, not the best guy to win some games in 2011.

by numbertenox on Jul 13, 2011 10:44 AM CDT reply actions  

I agree with everything you said...

Except for having Jake out. Even if he’s chomping and the line is doing well, I hope the hold him out to mid-season at the least.

The Force is with you, young SkyLocker, but you are not a Jedi... yet!

by J3G77 on Jul 13, 2011 12:41 PM CDT up reply actions  

Love the title!

I can stomach starting him midway through the season. Starting him day one is a mistake, IMO.

And, regarding FO vs. PFF, here’s my take. I think FO is a lot more about when a rush “gets home” or the QB gets sacked. In that sense, we were pretty solid last year. A lot of that, though, is due to both of our QB’s being extremely effective at getting the ball out on time (I wish I had a link…there’s a study on this). PFF, as I understand it, is a little more in depth and actually analyzes each individual player on each play. So, if Roos whiffs, but our QB doesn’t get touched, it’s still a “loss”. I could be wrong on that…I’m just reading between the lines based on the information both groups have put out in the past…

by SuperHorn on Jul 13, 2011 12:09 PM CDT reply actions  

Why do you think starting him day 1 is a mistake?

The model for high ceiling QBs is to get them out there and let them develop an appreciation for the speed of the game. The Titans have a lot of pieces around Jake – pieces he can depend on and learn under. The case for starting Jake:

1) he’ll be an established team leader by Sept 1. Undeniably.
2) he’ll have the best ability of any QB available to convert first downs on a regular basis
3) he’ll be healthy (he played most of last season with broken ribs)
4) the fans will be cosmogony for him
5) he’ll outright win the job with his pre-season/camp performance … The players will know it

Damn, my eyeball tastes good.
@chrislandon

by Gekko Mojo on Jul 15, 2011 10:08 PM CDT up reply actions  

Pretty sure I get royalties for the article title...

You can make the check out to “Ron Burgundy, Channel 4 News, San Diego”…they’ll find me.

Good evening. I'm Ron Burgundy, and here's what's happening in your world tonight.

by ronburgundy7427 on Jul 14, 2011 4:13 PM CDT reply actions  

I was wondering when you were going to chime in.

"Do the Titans have a miracle left in them in what has been a magical season to this point? If they do, they need it now. Christie kicks it high and short. Gonna be fielded by Lorenzo Neal at the 25; he dishes it back to Wycheck; he throws it across the field to Dyson. 30, 40, 50, 40, 30, 20, 10, 5, endzone...touchdown, Titans! There are no flags on the field! It's a miracle! Tennessee has pulled a miracle! A miracle for the Titans!"

by TennesseeTyrants on Jul 15, 2011 9:16 AM CDT up reply actions  

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