Last week was my first sub .500 week in picks against the spread. I was 6-10. Brutal. That brings my season record to 68-58-5 counting last night's loss.

Picks after the jump.

You never know which Ravens team is going to show up. That is why I like the Bengals to at least keep this one within a touchdown at least.

Jacksonville -1 vs. Cleveland

Who doesn't love a game between two terrible teams?

Carolina vs. Detroit -7

This game could be a really fun one to watch.  There should be a lot of scoring, but the Panthers don't have enough to hang ultimately.

Tampa Bay +14 1/2 vs. Green Bay

Green Bay will win this game, but they have to have a let down game at some point.  I think this is going to be the week.

Buffalo +1 vs. Miami

The Bills have been playing poorly, and the Dolphins have been playing better, but come on.  The Dolphins aren't winning this game.

Oakland -1 vs. Minnesota

The Raiders are going to win the AFC West.  That is pretty crazy.

Dallas -8 vs. Washington

The Redskins are really, really bad.  Don't be surprised to see the Cowboys get back into the mix in the NFC East.

Arizona vs. San Francisco -10

The 49ers are 8-1.  That is crazy. 

Seattle +3 vs. St. Louis

The Seahawks are better than most people think.  They still aren't very good, but they aren't the worst team in the league.

Tennessee vs. Atlanta -7

I hope I am wrong.

San Diego vs. Chicago -4 1/2

The Chargers are in meltdown mode.

Philadelphia vs. New York Giants -4 1/2

I can't wait to watch VY in this one.  It is going to be awesome.

Kansas City vs. New England -15

Tyler Palko time baby!