QBs and Fantasy Football
by Jimmy on Sep 3, 2010 10:56 AM CDT
in Fantasy Football
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Let's talk about QBs in fantasy football this year. It has always been one of the toughest positions for me in a draft because I am usually not willing to take on early enough to get one of the best guys, and so I end up waiting forever because every time my pick comes around again all of the guys left on the board look the same to me. I end up deciding I will get one next time, and that goes on for 5 rounds.
In the last couple of years I have started looking at positions in tiers (I know that is not something new, but I have never really done it before) and looking at the QB numbers from last year I came up with the tiers after the jump:
Tier 1
Aaron Rodgers, Drew Brees, Peyton Manning and believe it or not Matt Schaub
Tier 2
Brett Favre, Tom Brady, Tony Romo, Ben Roethlisberger*, and Philip Rivers
Tier 3
Jay Cutler, Eli Manning Donovan McNabb, Jason Campbell
Tier 4
David Garrard, Kyle Orton, Carson Palmer*, Joe Flacco*
Tier 5
Matt Ryan*, Matt Cassel, Matt Hasselbeck, Chad Henne, Alex Smith
Again, that is based on last year's numbers. Here are my comments- Rapelisberger has to go down a tier because he will miss 4 games.
Palmer, Flacco and Ryan will all move up at least 1 tier this year. Ryan might move up two.
With the exception of the above mentioned tier movers, Vince Young is a better option than any of the guys in 4 and 5. Book it!
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im always a go late on QBs
i will usually spend the first 4-5 rounds on RBs and WRs and then take 2 QBs back to back in round 5-6 or 6-7.
Using this method you can usually grab 2 of: Farve cutler kolb manning flacco ryan and i tihnk i am confident with any combination of those 2.
Worked last year as i got Shaub in almost every pool i was in.
I use a similar strategy with TE, and this year even more so. The position is sooo deep and once the top TEs come off the board you can still find quality options late… and im talking like 10-13th rounds.
After the big boys are off there are still TONS of options to choose from like Celek, Tony G, Shaincoe, Winslow, Daniels, ZAch Miller, Carleson, Heath Miller, Cooley, Olsen, Keller, even Boss and MAYBBBE EVEN COOKIE if you wanna take a reach.
I picked up Schaub last night in my draft.
Now more than ever, it’s important to get one of those top two tier guys. Without them, it’s nearly impossible to win a FFL league.
Guess it depends on your league's scoring
If you’re getting 4 pts per passing TD and 1 pt per reception, you could probably let a QB slide and pick up some higher tier wideouts or a pass-catching RB.
I like the tier strategy as well: compare which tier is available in each skill position, consult the scoring setting, then pull the trigger.
My first three picks at 7th overall last weekend where Andre Johnson, then Randy Moss, then Tony Romo in a PPR league. I was still left with Felix Jones and LeSean McCoy in later rounds, so I feel pretty good about this year.
Watch your league
I had a redraft recently that’s a five-year keeper. By my second pick five QBs were gone and ten were gone by the third round. I held on and got Eli in the 7th, Favre in the 8th and Stafford in the 11th. I say wait and get a couple of guys in the 8-15 range. Ten guys had 4000 yards last year so you don’t get that much of a bump by taking one of the top guys.
Romo/Brady in the 3rd would be hard to pass up.
I make sure to get a Tier 1-2 QB
in the 1st four rounds. plus 1 elite RB and 2 elite WR.
"We take pride in running the football here". - Eugene Amano, C
QB's end up being the highest scoring guys.
Dont go for Payton or Brees or Rogers in first two rounds, but grab Romo, Rivers, or Brady in the 3rd. Brady had his 2nd best yr ever last year & people are sleepin on him. Romo & Rivers will carry their teams. One of those 3 will be available in rd3. Get one. If u miss out, grab Schaub by the 4th.
Gotta have a good QB to win it all.
I had CJ2K last year, but wouldnt have won it all w/o Rivers/Gates combo.
Bump up Brady
I think Brady will return to tier 1 status this year – typical “it takes at least one season after knee surgery to return to form” kind of thing.
Cutler might be a sneaky pick this year – even though he might throw 40 INT he’ll at least get ONE MILLION yards under Martz….don’t be shocked if Cutler is a top 5 (fantasy of course) scoring QB.
And then Kevin Kolb – I know you said the above tiers are based on last year so it makes sense not to include him – will probably be a tier 3-4 on this list.
As for VY – I agree with you – he looks better than all those you mentioned.
Sad part with Cutler is.
He is going to get injured this year. I wouldn’t pick him at all. I think his starting O line has allowed 5 sacks to Cutler in the short time he has played this preseason.
"It all started with a badly timed bald joke." -Colin Mochrie
"Winston, you are drunk." -Lady Astor
"Yes my dear, but you are ugly, and in the morning I shall be sober." -Winston Churchill
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