The Road that Lies Ahead: Week 1 @ Pittsburgh
With training camp only a week away, I can almost taste it. Football season will soon be upon us and the black hole of interesting sports that is the month of July will have finally passed. With training camp on the horizon and, with it legitimate football news, it's time to get out the last drops of preseason speculation. What follows is the first entry in a 13 part series in which I will give a broad overview of the teams standing between the Titans and the playoffs. I will go through the schedule in order, saving the divisional opponents for last.
This season, besides the 6 divisional games, the Titans get the NFC West and the AFC East, as well as the other 2 AFC Division Champions from last season (Pitt, SD). The first 6 weeks look to be nothing short of brutal, with road trips to Pittsburgh, New York, Jacksonville, and Foxboro, and visits from Houston and Indianapolis. The schedule makers did Tennessee no favors there. The goal for the Titans will be to simply survive early on this season and then cash in on some more favorable match-ups in the second half of the season, when they will close with 3 of the last 4 games at LP Field.
After the jump, I will start things off with a preview of the grudge match which opens the NFL regular season on Thursday, September 10 in prime time between the Tennessee Titans and the Defending Super Bowl Champion Pittsburgh Steelers.
WEEK 1 (9/10) : @ Pittsburgh Steelers
LAST YEAR:
Last season these were two very good footbal teams. The Steelers went 12-4 during the regular season, winning the AFC North Crown en route to the Super Bowl, where they defeated the surprising Arizona Cardinals 27-23 to secure the franchise's sixth NFL Championship, and first under Head Coach Mike Tomlin. According to the statistical gurus over at FootballOutsiders.com, who use Defense-adjusted Value Over Average (DVOA) to rank teams, the Steelers paired the #1 overall defensive unit, headed up by James Harrison and Troy Polamalu, with the #21 offense, led by QB Ben Roethlisberger. When looked at all together, the Steelers ranked #2 overall last season in Total DVOA.
These two teams met last year in Nashville during Week 16 with the #1 seed in the AFC Playoffs at stake. The Titans ran away with it in the second half, proving to be a nightmarish match-up for Steelers. The Titans neutralized their defense by protecting Kerry Collins from their fearsome pass rush, running the ball, and minimizing turnovers. On the other side of the ball, the Titans, missing stars Haynesworth and Vanden Bosch were able to exploit the Steelers young and ineffective offensive line to the tune of 5 sacks, 2.9 yards per carry and 5 forced fumbles. Michael Griffin came up huge with 2 interceptions, including a late 83 yard touchdown return dagger to send the final score to 31-14.
I was there, it was awesome, we stomped some towels. One of the worst parts of going away to school has been missing out on my family's season tickets. Interestingly enough, I only got to attend 2 regular season games last season: the Jags in Week 1 and the Steelers in Week 16. I was there for VY's meltdown, and I was there for the true masterpiece of the season. Unfortunately, things would not be this good again, as the Titans had a nightmare game of their own only 3 weeks later. But on that day, it was electric at LP Field.
STRENGTHS:
When talking about any good Steelers team, the conversation always begins with defense. As mentioned, last year the Steelers led the league in Defensive DVOA, as well as both yards per game (237) and scoring (13.9 per game). They excelled at putting teams in nasty down and distance situations, as well as getting off the field on third downs. This is indicated by their #2 overall defensive DVOAs on both first and third downs. They ranked 2nd in the NFL with 51 sacks. Their secondary was also outstanding, coming in tied for 4th with 107 passes defensed, and tied for 6th with 20 interceptions. Any way you look at last season, the Steelers had an incredible defense that returns 9 starters this year.
On offense, the Steelers have several ways to hurt opponents in the passing game. They return 2 Super Bowl MVP's at the wide receiver position with Hines Ward and Santonio Holmes. Ward particularly had a good year, eclipsing the 1000 yard mark with 7 TDs and recording the 7th best DYAR for a WR-- Football Outsiders' measure or aggregate value over a season. They will also look for 2nd year man Limas Sweed to contribute as the #3 receiver in the wake of Nate Washington's departure to the Titans. At tight end, Heath Miller ranked 8th last season in DVOA, and caught 73% of the passes that came his way, making him one of the most reliable targets in the league at the position.
WEAKNESS:
This one is easy. The Steelers offensive line, which started a rookie and two 2nd year players, was abysmal last season. When these two teams met in Week 16 last year in Nashville, a Titans D-line missing both Albert Haynesworth and Kyle Vanden Bosch abused them all day, including a 3.5 sack outburst by rookie Jason Jones. The front four were in the backfield early and often, generally manhandling them all game.
The DVOA stats only further reinforce my contention that this was one of the worst offensive lines ever to win a Super Bowl ring. On running plays, the Steelers offensive line ranked 24th in the league, comfortably below average. But it was on passing plays where they really fell apart. The Steelers surrendered 50 sacks, approximately 1 sack for every 11 (9.2%) times Roethlisberger dropped back to pass, or roughly 3 times as often as the Titans gave up a sack (3.2%). Only three teams gave up sacks with greater frequency(Oakland, San Francisco, Detroit) and they combined for a 12-36 record last season. I know some of the blame for such a high total has to fall on Roethlisberger's shoulders for holding onto the ball too long, but I was in attendance for the Steelers/Titans contest last season and it was obvious that the level of chaos the Titans inflicted on the Steelers line of scrimmage had plenty to do with the big guys up front.
The Steelers made no immediately substantive changes to this unit in the offseason, choosing instead to return each guy that started 11 or more games last season. They did use 2 draft picks on Kraig Urbik, G, from Wisconsin and A.Q. Shipley, C, from Penn State, but expecting rookie contributions from the 79th and 226th overall picks is a bit of a stretch. Until something comes around with this group, the Steelers will continue to struggle to beat good teams that can get after the quarterback (such as their losses last season to the Giants, Eagles and Titans where they allowed a combined 19 sacks.)
QUESTION MARKS:
The biggest question that I have about the 2009 Steelers is the running game. Willie Parker simply has not been the same player over the last two season that he was in 2006 when he recorded almost 1500 yards and 13TDs. He was banged up last season as well, which gave Mewelde Moore a chance to see significant carries. Moore did as well as anyone could expect in a limited, back up role, earning the 6th best DVOA among running backs last season. However, the Steelers ranked just 23rd in the league in rushing yards per game. Going back to 2004, the Steelers had ranked 2nd, 5th, 10th, and 3rd over the previous 4 seasons in that stat, so a drop to the bottom quarter of the league was fairly surprising. I would expect the Steelers to focus a good deal on getting the ground game back on track this year, perhaps on the shoulders of 2nd year pro Rashard Mendenhall.
The Steelers lost starting cornerback Bryant McFadden to the Cardinals this offseason, leaving them with some questions about cornerback depth. Ike Taylor is solid on the left side, but at present they are relying on soon-to-be 35 year old Deshea Townsend on the right side. Townsend started 4 game last season and was serviceable, recording 2 INTs and 8 passes defensed. Much like the Titans, the Steelers will be crossing their fingers and hoping that their mid-30's CB can hold it together this season.
It's really quite amazing how much punishment Big Ben takes. In his 5 seasons (72 total games) in the NFL, he has been sacked a whopping 192 times. To put that into perspective, he is on pace to pull even with John Elway for the most sacks in a career (516) in his 194th game, two and a half seasons fewer than it took Elway to rack up that kind of abuse (234 games). Roethlisberger struggled (statistically) last season, registering his 2nd worst year as a starter, with a 17:15 TD/INT ratio and sub 60% completions. Interestingly enough, in the two seasons where Roethlisberger's attempts have far exceeded 400, (469 attempts in both 2006&2008), his stats have been the worst (QB Ratings of 75 and 80, respectively). On the other hand, he has never fallen short of a rating of 98 in the 3 season where the Steelers have kept his attempts down and leaned more on the run. The real question here relates to what has been said earlier. Can the Steelers give Big Ben more protection and a reliable run option this season in order to allow him to be more efficient in the passing game? WInning aside, getting sacked 40 times a season is a career path that is low in longevity.
KEYS FOR THE TITANS:
The trick for the Titans in Week 1 will be to keep their heads down and just play football. After the Terrible Towel Massacre of 2008, (a lot of good towels were lost out there), emotions from Pittsburgh players, and especially the Pittsburgh crowd are going to be turned up to 11 on the amplifier. I hear they are even unveiling a public monument in memory of those lost towels, and a scholarship fund for the children of those towels, left fatherless in the melee. All self-righteous overreactions aside, there is no reason at all that we shouldn't see a result very similar to last year's for the Titans if they just do what they do best.
If everyone is healthy come Week 1, Tennessee will put a better defensive front line on the field than they did last year against an o-line that bares startling resemblance to the Pittsburgh group from last year. The Titans have added more weapons on offense, while keeping the same offensive line that surrendered only a single sack to James Harrison in the Week 16 meeting. The bottom line last season was that the Titans matched up very favorably with the Steelers' strengths and weaknesses, and there is no reason to think that will change this season.
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Comments
July is a great sports month
How ’bout those boys of summer?
Pete Rose was actually banned from baseball for teaching Jeff Francoeur how to play. He made up the gambling stuff to hide his shame.
by VivaLosBravos on Jul 25, 2009 2:46 AM CDT reply actions 0 recs
I've been LOVING the Tour.
Armstrong’s comeback has been frankly amazing, and watching coming of age of both Antonio Contador and Bradley Wiggins has been terrific.
DannoE
"You may say I'm a dreamer, but I'm not the only one."
by DannoE on Jul 25, 2009 6:18 AM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
Excellent analysis
could this first game be a preview of the afc championship?
expect the stadium to be loud and raucous, and the steelers to be ready and extra motivated. the titans need to focus and the rookies to check their nerves.
i expect the steelers defense to focus on the run and force KC to throw. as such, the O-line must be ready for the pass rush and give an extra second to KC to find the open guy.
on defense, i don’t think the steelers can run against the titans. if the chain gang can harass the harasser, roethlisberger, and force him to make bad throws like last year, the secondary can have another good day.
if the titans show up focused and shake off the first game jitters right away, the titans wins this close 13-10. If the titans gets taken out by the noise and nerves, the titans get blown out 6-21.
"I finished the game. In my mind, if I finished the game, I can play next week." - Steve McNair RIP
by Pinoy Titan on Jul 25, 2009 3:40 AM CDT reply actions 0 recs
Should'a been last year.
I’m still looking at you, Alge.
DannoE
"You may say I'm a dreamer, but I'm not the only one."
by DannoE on Jul 25, 2009 6:06 AM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
keep the faith
"I finished the game. In my mind, if I finished the game, I can play next week." - Steve McNair RIP
by Pinoy Titan on Jul 25, 2009 7:02 AM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
I to was away at school..I went to the Jags game and the Ratbirds loss...the first and the last.
Anyway…I feel like looking at the past two years Fish has had us REALLY ready to play come week 1 im feeling good about this game.
This is OUR Year!...
by titansfan615 on Jul 25, 2009 7:52 AM CDT reply actions 0 recs
I was more upset at LenDale's fumble
I mean atleast Alge has the slight excuse of being super old.
Who doesn't want to be a promiscuous dope fiend?
by BonzosMontreaux on Jul 25, 2009 8:05 AM CDT reply actions 0 recs
The Titans, specifically the "towel stompers" have something to prove also.
I think the Titans go in to Pitt and demolish them. Look for Lendale, Bulluck, Kearse and company to “prove” they can stomp whatever, whenever, wherever, the want.
by slo-verado on Jul 25, 2009 2:01 PM CDT reply actions 0 recs
we are going to win. because your team was absolutely pitiful when we played you you were terrible winners showing not one bit of sportsmanship or respect. not a good organization at all
"That’s been our story all year. We’ve got a team that doesn’t blink in the face of adversity. It’s never going to be pretty or perfect, if you will, but they’ve got a great deal of belief in one another. They’ve got a great deal of resolve, and it was put on display. Our defense gets a lot of recognition for what they’re capable of, and rightfully so, but what you saw from our quarterback and our offense at the end of that football game is what they’ve provided for us all year. When we’ve needed it the most, they’ve done it and done it big. That’s a rerun for us."
Mike Tomlin, before superbowl 43
by steelcity7612 on Jul 25, 2009 7:36 PM CDT reply actions 0 recs
Yeah....OK!!!
Steeler fans bringing ( and waving) their dumbass dishrags in Nashville was incredibly classy. The Titans destroyed the steelers with 1st place on the line and PROVED that you don’t come in to our house waving your flag ( tissue, maxi-pad, whatever that ugly snot rag is supposed to be)………….It’s equivalent to Mexico invading the US, waving their flags all around, losing the “war” very badly, then getting all bitchy when our soldiers set their flags ablaze.
Most Steeler fans can’t wait to talk a bunch of sh*t, but boy, when they get beat up, they cry like a bunch of whiny 3 yr olds. I can’t wait to hear all of the excuses after the Titans obliterate the steelers again…." Big Ben never plays well after he rapes somebody", " Willie Parker’s been playing with a broken ass since 2006", " Ben mistook Troy and his beautiful flowing locks in the locker room and that’s why he couldn’t run right today"…etc
P.S. Locate the damn “shift” and “comma” buttons on your keyboard, Nancy!
by slo-verado on Jul 25, 2009 8:36 PM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
Steeler fans don’t have to talk a bunch of shit. Their team won the Super Bowl. Actions speak louder than words.
by bone1978 on Jul 28, 2009 4:45 PM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
"Big Ben never plays well after he rapes somebody"
ROTFLMAO
by DoofusOfErasmus on Jul 25, 2009 9:38 PM CDT reply actions 0 recs
That pic of Hines and Finnegan should be create a caption lol
Que Where?!?!
by SouthTexasTitan on Jul 26, 2009 11:47 AM CDT reply actions 0 recs
As a habitual gambler...
I have learned this lesson ever since the NFL began to start the season with the defending champ on Thursday night. NEVER EVER bet against the defending champ on the night of a banner raising. The only team I have ever seen NOT defend its home field during a banner raising was the Miami Heat in 2007, and that season was the worst title defense I have ever seen in any sport.
As a Titan fan I could not have been more disappointed with our opponent for Week One.
by Travis1310 on Jul 26, 2009 3:30 PM CDT reply actions 0 recs
Steeler fan here. Not trying to start anything, just commenting. I will say a few things for last year’s game. The Titans were dominant and clearly wanted the home field adantage more than the Steelers. The Steelers were coming off of a huge division-clinching road game in Baltimore, so a little let-down was understood by us. No biggee.
As for the towel incident, I was watching the game with my father on TV, and when the players came on camera doing that, we looked at each other and started laughing. There was no question that the Steelers would be pissed about that, and their next four games proved it. Anyways….
This game is a hell of a matchup on paper. You’re right in saying that the Titans create matchup problems against the Steelers, especially with their defensive line. I’m hopeful that a year of playing together will help the offensive line, as they did gel in the playoffs and played pretty well. It really is one of the keys to the game.
As for Townsend at corner, he’s probably going to stay at nickelback and William Gay, a part-time starter last year at corner, will be the full-time starter. The Steelers’ two “major” free agent losses, Washington and McFadden, were not full-time starters.
Finally, good luck with Washington. I personally liked the guy because he was from I-AA Tiffen, which is just down the road from me, but he’s a limited player. He’ll catch a bomb once a month and then disappear for awhile.
Good luck and here’s hoping to a good, injury-free week 1!
by bone1978 on Jul 28, 2009 4:53 PM CDT reply actions 0 recs

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