Tennessee Titans Playoff Scenario, for the Record
by hal41605 on Dec 6, 2009 9:35 PM CST
31 comments
This issue is beginning to be raised in the comments threads so I figured I'd just get it out there now. Yes the Titans are still mathematically alive. The Titans' best chance is to be the only 9-7 team in consideration at the end of the season, since they already have 7 conference losses. Assuming the Titans win the last four games (not a safe assumption at all) this is how it breaks down:
The Titans need 6 of the next 7 teams to have the indicated record (or worse) from here on out:
- Pittsburgh Steelers - 2-2
(@CLE, GB, BAL, @MIA)
- *New York Jets- 2-2 (or New England 1-3)
(@TB, ATL, @IND, CIN)
- *Miami Dolphins** - 2-2 (or New England 1-3)
(@JAX, @TEN, HOU, PIT)
- Baltimore Ravens - 2-2
(DET, CHI, @PIT, @OAK)
- Jacksonville Jaguars - 1-3
(MIA, IND, @NE, @CLE)
- Denver Broncos or San Diego Chargers**- 0-4
Den(@IND, OAK, @PHI, KC), SD (@DAL, CIN, @TEN, WAS)
So that's the scenario. Possible, but highly improbable.
* New England going 1-3 can only count once. Basically the 2nd best AFC East team must be 8-8 (or Miami 9-7). One of those 3 will win the division and thus don't affect the Titans.
** Because the Titans can still beat Miami and San Diego and thus would hold a head-to-head tie break, they can both be 9-7 as well and the Titans will still get in.
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Actually we want Miami to go 3-1
as long as we beat them. We would win the tie-breaker. So since we have to run the table anyway, we should cheer for them to win all other games.
Next week vs Jags
Last Week vs Steelers
Go Fins!
still hope for us....
I still believe!!! Nick Harper or no Nick Harper…..
by Bonafidebrother on Dec 6, 2009 10:23 PM CST reply actions
How I see it playing out.
STEELERS: Win at Cleveland. Loss at Green Bay. Win at Baltimore. Loss at Miami.
JETS: Win at Tampa Bay. Loss at Atlanta. Loss at Indy. Loss at Bengals.
DOLPHINS: Win at Jacksonville. Loss at Tennessee. Loss at Houston. Win at Pittsburgh.
RAVENS: Loss at Green Bay. Win at Detroit. Loss at Chicago. Loss at Pittsburgh. Win at Oakland.
JAGUARS: Loss at Miami. Loss at Indianapolis. Loss at New England. Win at Cleveland.
BRONCOS: Loss at Indianapolis. Win at Oakland. Loss at Philadelphia. Win at Kansas City.
I live in Chicago.
And I hate to be the one to rain on anyone’s parade, but the ravens are not going to lose to the carebears and cutler.
Think about each team individually, and it doesn't seem so improbable
Steelers need to lose to Packers and @ Miami
Jets need to lose @ Indy and Cincy
Dolphins need to lose to @Titans
Ravens need to lose @ Packers and @ Steelers, and then an upset to the Bears?
Jaguars need to lose to Miami, Indy and NE
And then we’re in! The Ravens seem like the toughest team, but anything’s possible.
"We really feel like we can go 10-0 in these last ten games...we’re trying to do something nobody has ever done." Chris Johnson
"This is the only building in the NHL that the fans get up and cheer for no apparent reason just to support us." - Dan Ellis
Official Graphic Designer/Researcher/Grammar Police of MCM.
Official Graphic Goon of OTF.
by Aditya T (smashville) on Dec 6, 2009 10:35 PM CST reply actions
We have to beat the Chargers
another pass happy team, but it’s doable. We have them at home, and certainly owe them for knocking us out of the playoffs a couple seasons ago.
correction
We play MIA, so they could go 3-1 (inc. the loss to us) and as long as NE goes 3-1 or 4-0, we’d win the tiebreaker against MIA
Also,
wouldn’t it be okay if the Chargers lost all four of their games instead of the Broncos, considering that would put them at 9-7 and it would mean we won, so we would win the first tie breaker?
"We really feel like we can go 10-0 in these last ten games...we’re trying to do something nobody has ever done." Chris Johnson
"This is the only building in the NHL that the fans get up and cheer for no apparent reason just to support us." - Dan Ellis
Official Graphic Designer/Researcher/Grammar Police of MCM.
Official Graphic Goon of OTF.
by Aditya T (smashville) on Dec 6, 2009 10:47 PM CST reply actions
Let's talk aout that record.
I love CJ. LOVE HIM. He already is the best running back in the NFL, and will be for years to come, and will eventually (barring a career -ending injury, knock on wood) be considered as one of the best ever, and his name will be spoken in the same sentences as Barry Sanders, Earl Campbell, and Walter Payton.
But in all honesty, I don’t care if he breaks Dickerson’s record, and I don’t care if he goes for more than 2000 yards. I care more about what is best for the team, and what is going to help us win games. And so far, CJ has contributed immensely to the wins we DO have. But what happened to Smash & Dash? Lendale only has 200-something yards this season, and that is one of the biggest reasons CJ has 1400+. Fisher needs to utilize Lendale more, because A) he is a good back, and B) he is one the roster to provide those short powerful bursts we need when there is short yardage to be gotten (see also: red zone DISASTERS yesterday). If Lendale had more carries when it COUNTS, then CJ’s numbers would be diminished, but we might not be 5-7. Which record do you care about more?
What were they thinking??? Play calling people!!!
by 2Justin8 on Dec 7, 2009 2:08 PM CST up reply actions 1 recs
I wouldn't worry about the West
Technically, if ALL the others fall our way, we can sneak in as the 6 seed regardless of what Denver & San Diego do. (One would get the division, the other the 5 seed).
And that might be our best shot,
Not as bad as I thought it would be.
Not good, but I thought it would actually be worse.
DannoE
"You may say I'm a dreamer, but I'm not the only one."
most of it seems doable except the chargers and broncos.
either way, winning out for us seems very possible. and for us to have a winning season from 0-6 will be great momentum going into next year.
CJ, britt and vince are one hell of a dynamic trio. all still young men in thier primes. shoring up the secondary should be priority #1 in the draft. except as much as i hate to say it, having great players on the bench next year is a recipe for mediocrity.
"hey, quit reading these ridiculous words of wisdom and get back to work!"
Alright, I've been staring at this, and I've decided that it's...
…a little better than it was in 2006.
Pittsburgh Steelers – 2-2 (@CLE, GB, BAL, @MIA):
- I can see this happening. If they can lose to Oakland, they can drop a game to Baltimore and a game to Miami. They could even drop one to Green Bay.
*New York Jets" 2-2 (@TB, ATL, @IND, CIN):
- We’re lukcy they’ve got Kellen Clemons this week.
- They could easily lose to ATL and CIN, and I don’t know if they can beat the Colts, even with Sorgi. Colts D is not bad against the run, and NYJ’s Offense is nothing special at all.
Miami Dolphins – 2-2 (@JAX, @TEN, HOU, PIT):
- This is tough. Because you’d like to hope Pittsburgh would beat them, but we need Pitt to win. So I think we have to hope they got 3-1, losing to us, and we win the tie-breaker. Or lose to us and Houston, which could happen.
Baltimore Ravens 2-3 (@GB, DET, CHI, @PIT, @OAK):
- Again, it’s tough because you can’t hope Pittsburgh will win. And I have very little faith in Oakland or Detroit. Argh. This is probably a Wild Card team.
Jacksonville Jaguars 1-3 (MIA, IND, @NE, @CLE):
- Well, Indy will beat these guys, and New England will beat them, too. I think we have to root for the Dolphins as well.
Denver Broncos or San Diego Chargers- 0-4:
- This ain’t happenin’.
DannoE
"You may say I'm a dreamer, but I'm not the only one."
Well....
What needs to happen probably isn’t going to happen.
But hell, let’s just take one week at a time – who knows? Maybe next week is a perfiect week for the scenario…….then we can get our hopes up again. ;-)
"Bite my shiny metal ass!" -- Bender Bending Rodriguez
"Life is just one crushing defeat after another until you just wish Flanders was dead."
by The Jade Scorpion on Dec 7, 2009 10:47 AM CST reply actions
let's just play 4 weeks of good football
if we still have a shot going into week 17, then we can talk about it at that time.
The Dual Threat, Official Enforcer/Stat Geek of MCM.
Yup.
Plus, I really would like to see CJ get 250 this week.
"Bite my shiny metal ass!" -- Bender Bending Rodriguez
"Life is just one crushing defeat after another until you just wish Flanders was dead."
by The Jade Scorpion on Dec 7, 2009 10:56 AM CST up reply actions 1 recs
its doable
we really just gotta go one week at a time remember the most important thing is us winning out if this ends like 06 did when we got our help but we lost i would be pissed so lets just see how next week plays out and maybe itll get better if it does just keep getting alittle more hope til it happens
yes!!!
the planets are aligning!!!! lol!!
by zero defects on Dec 8, 2009 11:10 PM CST up reply actions
Makes the Steelers and Jets losses hurt
Being 7-5 at this time would almost put us in the drivers seat. Oh what might have been.
The one good thing about the Colts loss was that it was REALLY improbable that we would rip off 14 in a row (10 wins to close the season plus 4 in the playoffs) to win the Super Bowl. But winning eight in a row from this point forward? Hmmm…
I agree with those who say let’s win one at a time, and if we’re 8-7 going into Seattle, then we can get excited.
We have three in a row at home – let’s make it count.
My wife tells me my optimisim is actually disillusional...
that’s cold, don’t you think?
by titansfan4ever on Dec 11, 2009 10:35 AM CST reply actions
have you seen 'a boy named charlie'?
woman can be such detractors!…and fair weather fans…they never go with men that lose at things…she will become a new woman this season when we make it! knock on some more wood…
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