New York Jets @ Tennessee Titans Preview: The Stats

by Jimmy on Nov 19, 2008 11:07 AM CST in Previews Comment 15 comments

Jets	Stat	Titans
125.1 (9th)	Rush Offense	132.7 (7th)
211.4 (13th)	Pass Offense	183.6 (25th)
336.5 (12th)	Total Offense	316.3 (20th)
28.9 (2nd)	Scoring Offense	24.4 (9th)
4.5% (18th)	Offense DVOA	8.4% (13th)
81.3 (4th)	Rush Defense	95.1 (10th)
239.7 (28th)	Pass Defense	186.7 (6th)
321.0 (15th)	Total Defense	281.8 (6th)
22.1 (15th)	Scoring Defense	13.1 (1st)
+1(17th)	Turnover Ratio	+10 (1st)
1.4% (14th)	Defense DVOA	-22% (2nd)
10% (11th)	Weighted DVOA	30.4% (2nd)

This is looking like it is going to be the best game of the season so far. The Jets are very tough against the run so we could be looking at another game that is going to be won or loss by Kerry Collins. I don't know about you, but I feel a lot better about the odds of the Titans winning that type of game than I did 3 weeks ago.

The key for the defense will be to pressure Brett Favre. We all know that he is capable of making big plays for either team, and the way to get him to get him to be the bad "Gunslinger" is to get guys in his face. I really hope Kyle Vanden Bosch can get back on the field for this game.

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Im really nervous

about this game. This is the best team we’ve played all season by a landslide. At least 5 days later we have the 0-10 Lions!

by thawardasa on Nov 19, 2008 11:47 AM CST reply actions 0 recs

Has anybody heard anything about KVB palying this week?

by DZone on Nov 19, 2008 11:55 AM CST reply actions 0 recs

Last I saw, he said...

…that he feels like he’s had enough rest, and so now he’s got to try to go and potentially work through the pain if necessary. I have no idea if that means that he’s healed and has scar tissue, which would suck for him but not be a big deal, or that he has a lasting injury that will eventually need surgery but won’t get worse before the end of the season.

DannoE

"You may say I'm a dreamer, but I'm not the only one."
Go Titans!

by DannoE on Nov 19, 2008 11:58 AM CST up reply actions 0 recs

I think it means...

…he’s tired of sitting around not getting to play. I was listening to him on a radio show last week and he said something to the effect of “I’m going to punch the next person that tells me ’There’s a lot more football left to play.’”
You better believe that guy wants to be on the field.

If I hit a hole-in-one on this grand slam the dominoes will fall like a house of cards. Checkmate.

by jasonkylebates on Nov 19, 2008 6:05 PM CST up reply actions 0 recs

Nothing to be nervous about!

Brett and the Jets are walking into our house. Harper should be back; we have a hard-hitting, ball-hawking secondary that can get the job done.

Brett’s gonna have a long day against our pass rush, especially if KVB comes back.

The Jets are not as good as advertised… case in point – the Jets have lost to Oakland, barely squeaked by KC, got blown out by San Diego and split their series with NE. The St-Louis blowout means nothing; St-Louis would lose to an arena league team. The NE overtime win? Nice win, and nice game for Favre, but teams that beat the 2008 Patriots don’t impress me very much, what with their geriatric defense and all.

Brett has 18 touchdowns and 12 Interceptions. Let’s take away that Arizona shootout that was really a statistical aberration… and you end up with 12 TDs and 11 picks. Media’s talking about how they have gotten hot lately… sure, last two games Brett has had QB ratings above 100; but let’s not forget that one of those games was against the Rams.

My guess is that this week, against a top 5 defense, Brett’s gonna toss up a real stinker. 2 picks and one TD.

When you dig into the numbers, they’re just not that scary. Lay the 5 points or whatever your bookie is quoting you, and take that to the bank.

by BeansCarter on Nov 19, 2008 12:06 PM CST reply actions 0 recs

I can buy Brett having a bad day

Our secondary is one of the best in the league (I can’t believe I’m saying that about a Titans team). Pass pressure is also usually very good, although with KVB out it has been less good.

But, I have a much bigger matchup concern: Our punt/kickoff coverage team vs. the Jets extremely good return team (2nd in the league in punt return yards per game, 5th in kickoff yards per game). I cannot find stats for coverage teams, but I bet the Titans are in the bottom third. We have the occasional nice tackle (Griffin recently for example) but on the whole I think our coverage special team is the worst unit we field.

On the whole, I’m betting this is an exciting one with the Jets getting more than our D normally gives up. I think our offense has to put up in the high 20s to win this one, but we’ll see!

by numbertenox on Nov 19, 2008 12:49 PM CST up reply actions 0 recs

For what it's worth...

As it says above the Jets score 28.9 and give up 22.1. We score 24.4 and give up 13.1.

The teams that have played us have averaged scoring 21.4 and have given up 23.1. So, teams score 8.3 points less than their average against the Titans and give up 1.3 points more points.

The teams that have played the Jets have averaged scoring 19.8 and have given up 23.3. So, teams score 2.3 points more than their average against the Jets and give up 5.6 more points.

So I think we will give up more than 13 points to the Jets but I also think we will put up more than 24.4. My pick is 27 to 17 Titans.

by DZone on Nov 19, 2008 4:08 PM CST up reply actions 0 recs

No way the Jets put up 2 TDs on us, IMO...

book it, as they say.

Michael Roos doesn't eat pitas because NOTHING BREAKS THE POCKET ON HIS WATCH!!!

by August West on Nov 20, 2008 9:19 AM CST up reply actions 0 recs

Yeah they will, but the 2 TDs will be offset by the 4 INTs.

2 Finnegan, 1 Hope and 1 Bullock. Take it to the bank.

by DZone on Nov 20, 2008 9:48 AM CST up reply actions 0 recs

I don't see it.

The Titans excel at shutting down first and second receivers and running games. Okay, truth to tell, I like the Jets’ chances for getting about 90 yards on the ground this week. But do they have a viable 3rd WR? Because if Favre tries to go to Finnegan’s side more than about five times all game, he’s gonna come out with at least one pick-6.

DannoE

"You may say I'm a dreamer, but I'm not the only one."
Go Titans!

by DannoE on Nov 20, 2008 10:40 AM CST up reply actions 0 recs

The Jags

Got two TDs on us. I can see the Jets doing that. However, I think that’s the maximum. Especially if we can limit the penalties.

by theologic on Nov 20, 2008 11:21 AM CST up reply actions 0 recs

That's true.

But personally, I would like the Jags—even in their current beat-up position—over ANY team in the AFC East.

DannoE

"You may say I'm a dreamer, but I'm not the only one."
Go Titans!

by DannoE on Nov 20, 2008 12:10 PM CST up reply actions 0 recs

I think

they’ll run a kickoff or a punt all the way to a TD on us once, or get such a short field that they get a gimme score. I’m guessing 31 to 24 Titans.

by numbertenox on Nov 20, 2008 1:16 PM CST up reply actions 0 recs

jets passing defense is awful

especially awful against the pass to TE and RB. i like that matchup big time. scaife and cj could see big receiving numbers. also favre gets sacked 6.5% of drop backs to kc’s 3%. and the other major titans advantage is turnovers. favre is a turnover machine, and i hope the boys in the secondary are ready to pick a few off. 3 would be about right it think.

by hal41605 on Nov 19, 2008 8:28 PM CST reply actions 0 recs