After 10 wins and a 3-game lead over the rest of the AFC, I thought it made sense to take a look at the playoff picture.
Assuming there are no massive surprises over the next few weeks, I think we can get a decent idea of how things will shake out.
We probably need 3 more wins to lock up HFA throughout the playoffs. Although... the Jets and Steelers each have 7 wins (and we play them both), so if either of these teams win out we'll actually need 4 wins to guarantee HFA.
However... the chance of either of these teams winning their next 6 is low. It may very well be that no division winner other than us will have a record better than 11-5.
We have 3 easy games on our schedule... Lions, Texans, and Browns. Realistically speaking, HFA is ours.
Now, here is the seeding diagram for the playoffs...
As Division seed #1, we would host the lowest seeded winner of the first round. Assuming that current division leaders hold on to their divisions, and assuming one or both of the wild-card teams win in the first round of the playoffs, we'll end up facing one of the following 4 potential WC teams... Ravens, Patriots, Colts, Dolphins.
Who would you like to face most? Who gives us the greatest matchup advantage?