UPDATED (again): How the Titans can lose the AFC South

by shake n bake on Nov 23, 2008 10:59 PM CST

It's still possible though the road is unlikely. Here are the scenarios.

Titans lose 4, Colts win out
Titans lose out, Colts win 4

It takes two more Titans wins (or two Colts losses, or one of each) to seal the AFC South. Assuming a win against the Lions (not a big leap) the Titans will have to drop 3 for 4 (with one of the 3 being to the Texans) to not win the AFC South

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Comments

Give me a call when that happens

The PAIN TRAIN is comin baby!

by BigW on Nov 11, 2008 3:38 PM CST reply actions

Yeah, honestly.

I think the wildcard is a big enough challenge for you guys. Focus on that.

by nvemvp23 on Nov 11, 2008 3:43 PM CST up reply actions

some people were curious so I researched it and wrote it up

I though you guys would like to know exactly how much margin for error you had.

Shonn Greene for Heisman
137 yards per game
6.1 yards per carry
08 TDs per game > 06 GPA

by shake n bake on Nov 11, 2008 3:51 PM CST reply actions

In that case it is appreciated.

I thought you were trying to troll a little bit for a second.

by nvemvp23 on Nov 11, 2008 3:54 PM CST up reply actions

nah. Shake is alright

I just wanted to bust chops a bit! :)

The PAIN TRAIN is comin baby!

by BigW on Nov 11, 2008 3:55 PM CST up reply actions

I don't believe it's happening

if you look at Stampede Blue right after the win against the Steelers the first thing I posted was the new wildcard standings. If anything posting this at Stampede Blue has made the Colts fans (including myself after noticing common opponents would be the tiebreaker not conference record) less hopeful.

Shonn Greene for Heisman
137 yards per game
6.1 yards per carry
08 TDs per game > 06 GPA

by shake n bake on Nov 11, 2008 4:02 PM CST up reply actions

titans going undefeated is more likely than colts winning the division

by hal41605 on Nov 11, 2008 4:05 PM CST reply actions

2.5 times more according to FO

1.9% vs 4.8%

Shonn Greene for Heisman
137 yards per game
6.1 yards per carry
08 TDs per game > 06 GPA

by shake n bake on Nov 11, 2008 4:07 PM CST up reply actions

wow i was totally just making that up

amazing shake

by hal41605 on Nov 11, 2008 4:08 PM CST up reply actions

Shake's good dude

I hate Music City Miracles!

by gramsey712 on Nov 11, 2008 4:08 PM CST up reply actions

I had the DVOA ratings and their playoff odds already pulled up

for the post I’m writing now and because I have no attention span I checked back in this thread while doing it.

Shonn Greene for Heisman
137 yards per game
6.1 yards per carry
08 TDs per game > 06 GPA

by shake n bake on Nov 11, 2008 4:15 PM CST up reply actions

I can barely sit through a commercial.

I feel ya

The PAIN TRAIN is comin baby!

by BigW on Nov 11, 2008 4:16 PM CST up reply actions

fo?

by vancouverTITAN on Nov 11, 2008 6:40 PM CST up reply actions

Football Outsiders

It’s the site that all the stat nerds love.

Titans Blogger at Music City Miracles even though gramsey hates it.

by Jimmy on Nov 11, 2008 7:58 PM CST up reply actions

I am a giant unashamed stat nerd

Shonn Greene for Heisman
137 yards per game
6.1 yards per carry
08 TDs per game > 06 GPA

by shake n bake on Nov 11, 2008 8:12 PM CST up reply actions

me too

and I can barely do long division.

Michael Roos doesn't eat pitas because NOTHING BREAKS THE POCKET ON HIS WATCH!!!

by August West on Nov 18, 2008 3:10 PM CST up reply actions

I do a bit better

I can get to calculus before I want to cry

Shonn Greene for Heisman
144 yards per game
6.2 yards per carry
08 TDs per game > 06 GPA

by shake n bake on Nov 18, 2008 3:30 PM CST up reply actions

Sounds like

something that Fantastic Four villain the Mad Thinker would come up with. “There’s a 3% probability of reed richards coming around the corner in the next ten minutes…”

hmmm. dating myself.

by numbertenox on Nov 11, 2008 8:06 PM CST up reply actions

Since you guys liked it last week

Football Outsiders now puts the Titans as over 8 times more likely to go undefeated than to lose the division

Shonn Greene for Heisman
144 yards per game
6.2 yards per carry
08 TDs per game > 06 GPA

by shake n bake on Nov 18, 2008 5:41 PM CST reply actions

Thanks Shake

I think I’m gonna go out on a limb here and say. The TITANS WILL NOT LOSE THE DIVISION. Keep in mind we play the Lions, Browns, and Texans…………… heh

I realize that’s a jinx thing to say but at this point……

The PAIN TRAIN is comin baby!

by BigW on Nov 18, 2008 7:08 PM CST up reply actions

So..

So lets say we win the next two, can we already celebrate an AFC south win?

by jmac1383 on Nov 19, 2008 12:44 AM CST reply actions

why wait?

celebrate now, the division is on lock down.

by hal41605 on Nov 19, 2008 9:44 AM CST up reply actions

odds on titans perfect season

has anyone seen odds on the titans going 16-0 on any sportsbooks?

or odds on detroit going 0-16?

i haven’t been able to find these bets anywhere. i took the bet at 10/1 with a couple friends, but i just made that up.

i see detroit as 5/1, considering their remaining schedule:

@tb, ten, min, @ind, no, gb

by k8nmodha on Nov 19, 2008 1:54 AM CST reply actions

Who are they going to beat?

DannoE

"You may say I'm a dreamer, but I'm not the only one."
Go Titans!

by DannoE on Nov 19, 2008 6:42 AM CST up reply actions

My favorite non-FO stat geek

puts the chances at 9% for 16-0 and 33% at 0-16

FO says 7.6% and 30.7%

Shonn Greene for Heisman
144 yards per game
6.2 yards per carry
08 TDs per game > 06 GPA

by shake n bake on Nov 19, 2008 9:01 AM CST up reply actions

Too many variables

to really handicap our chances at going undefeated. I don’t even want to attempt that. 6 games with injuries plus factoring in our opponents and then the fact that we’ll have the division wrapped up early…….

I don’t mind if we don’t go undefeated. It’d be a nice sidebar and a way to get rid of watching Mercury Morris every season but ultimately I just want a championship.

The PAIN TRAIN is comin baby!

by BigW on Nov 19, 2008 9:43 AM CST reply actions

but if a team goes 16-0

it then MUST go 19-0 to avoid being served a huge turd sandwich for the rest of the offseason. i watched last years super bowl with mostly pats fans, and when they lost, it was seriously like a death in the family. i don’t want that. i don’t want to feel like crap over a 17-1 or 18-1 season. it cannot be explained how gloomy boston was for a few weeks after the super bowl.

by hal41605 on Nov 19, 2008 10:00 AM CST up reply actions